Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. BitPinas has no commercial relationship with any mentioned entity unless otherwise stated.
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There have always been moments when survey results are questioned: “Did the respondents answer seriously, or did they just want to finish the poll?”
This challenge of credibility gave birth to one of the most practical real-world use cases for blockchain: Prediction Markets.
What is a Prediction Market?
Ever heard the phrase, “Put your money where your mouth is”?
A web3 prediction market is essentially a digital survey or poll, but with a catch: to cast your vote, you must pay in crypto*.
Technically, these are marketplaces that utilize blockchain smart contracts to allow participants to buy and sell “shares” based on the outcome of future events.
- Example: A market might ask, “Will it snow in the Philippines?”
- The Mechanism: Users buy “YES” or “NO” shares using stablecoins like USDT or USDC.
- The Payout: If you are right, you profit. If you are wrong, you lose your stake.
Some platforms use dynamic pricing, where the price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome happening (e.g., a “YES” share costing $0.80 implies an 80% chance of occurring).
But Why Does It Matter?
Because money is on the line, respondents are significantly more serious about their answers.
Unlike a free survey where someone might click random buttons, a prediction market requires a financial commitment. This makes the aggregated data highly reliable.
In fact, major news outlets like Business Insider now cite data from prediction markets during election cycles and major global events because they often produce more accurate forecasts than traditional polling methods.

Are Prediction Markets Similar to Futures Trading?
Technically, yes.*
- In Futures Trading: You buy a Long or Short contract based on where you think the price of a token will go.
- In Prediction Markets: Your “Long” and “Short” positions are replaced by “YES” or “NO.” Instead of betting on price action, you are betting on real-world events—sports results, election outcomes, or political shifts.
*Note that the above explanation is an oversimplication of the mechanism for the sake of clarity. Both markets are about trading “contracts” based on a future outcome.
LIST: Prediction Markets of 2026
In alphabetical order
Coinbase

- Platform Link: https://www.coinbase.com/prediction-markets
- Features: Not yet launched. However, it is expected to be integrated into the Coinbase Wallet.
- Account Creation Requirement: Apple Account, Google Account, Email.
- Total Value Locked: Not yet operational.
- Seven-Day Trading Volume: Not yet operational.
EveryX

- Platform Link: https://everyx.io/
- Features:
- Focus on community-driven governance.
- Low fees.
- Includes regional event coverage.
- Its target market is Asia, which includes the Philippines.
- Account Creation Requirement: Google Account, Email, Wallet Connect.
- Total Value Locked: No available information.
- Seven-Day Trading Volume: No available information.
Disclosure: BitPinas has partnered with EveryX to add market sentiment data and predication-based insights to our crypto and web3 coverage.
Kalshi

- Platform Link: https://kalshi.com/
- Features:
- Regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which regulates the U.S. derivatives markets, including futures, swaps, and certain types of options.
- Contracts on diverse real-world outcomes.
- High liquidity.
- Account Creation Requirement: Google Account, Apple Account, or Email.
- Total Value Locked: Unavailable.
- 30-Day Trading Volume: $7.584 billion
Opinion

- Platform Link: https://opinion-market.com/
- Features:
- Low fees.
- Gamified participation.
- High community traction.
- Account Creation Requirement: Email.
- Total Value Locked: $131.79 million
- 30-Day Trading Volume: $2.886 billion
Polymarket

- Platform Link: https://polymarket.com/
- Features:
- Transparent settlement.
- High liquidity.
- It is widely cited for its accuracy in forecasting.
- Account Creation Requirement: Email, Google Account, MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet, Phantom, Wallet Connect,
- Total Value Locked: $286.1 million
- Seven-Day Trading Volume: $2.504 billion
Probable

- Platform Link: https://probable.markets/
- Features:
- Supported by PancakeSwap.
- Launched on the BNB Chain.
- Account Creation Requirement: X Account, Google Account, MetaMask, Binance Wallet, TokenPocket, Trust Wallet, Coinbase Wallet, OKX Wallet, SafePal, Coin98, Rabby Wallet
- Total Value Locked: No available information.
- Seven-Day Trading Volume: $313.55 million
Predict Fun

- Platform Link: https://predict.fun/
- Features:
- Operates across two chains.
- Community-driven.
- Fun-oriented branding.
- Account Creation Requirement: X Account, Google Account, and 500+ web3 wallets, including Binance Wallet, OKX Wallet, MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet, Backpack, Rainbow, and Phantom.
- Total Value Locked: $20.95 million
- Seven-Day Trading Volume: $193.61 million
This news is published on BitPinas: List of Web3 Predictions Markets: Put Your Money Where Your Mouth Is
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